A college basketball game between the Texas Longhorns and Georgia Bulldogs scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread (-2.5 Georgia), and multiple over/under totals (162.5, 163.5, 164.5).
Kalshi moneyline contains a logical contradiction where both Texas and Georgia wins resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline is logically sound with binary outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline until Kalshi clarifies the error. The spread and total markets (Polymarket and Kalshi) are consistent: resolve based on final score including overtime, remain open if postponed, split 50-50 if canceled entirely. Trade the spread and totals with confidence; they use the same resolution source (final NCAA score).
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market contains logical error: states both 'If Georgia wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Texas wins...resolves to Yes', creating an impossible scenario where every outcome is Yes. This violates binary market logic.
Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to 'Texas Longhorns' if Texas wins or 'Georgia Bulldogs' if Georgia wins. Clear binary logic with cancellation protocol: if game is canceled with no makeup, market resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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