TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Texas Longhorns vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
Volume:
$807,148
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between the Texas Longhorns and Arkansas Razorbacks scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread, and total points outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use identical resolution methodology: final official score including overtime, postponement handling (remain open), and cancellation protocol (50-50 split). All threshold definitions are mathematically consistent.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NCAA final score for Texas at Arkansas game on March 4, 2026Core resolution logic:
- Moneyline: Market resolves to the team with the higher final score
- Spread (-7.5): Arkansas wins if final margin is 8+ points; otherwise Texas wins
- Spread (-6.5): Arkansas wins if final margin is 7+ points; otherwise Texas wins
- Over/Under 166.5: Over if combined score is 167+; Under if 166 or less
- Over/Under 165.5: Over if combined score is 166+; Under if 165 or less
- Over/Under 164.5: Over if combined score is 165+; Under if 164 or less
- Over/Under 163.5: Over if combined score is 164+; Under if 163 or less
- All resolutions include overtime scoring in final totals
- If game is postponed, markets remain open until completion
- If game is canceled with no makeup, all markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Overtime: All scoring in overtime periods counts toward final score and spread/total calculations
- Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on a future date
- Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50
- Spread Push: If final margin exactly matches spread threshold (e.g., 7-point margin on -6.5 spread), Arkansas wins; if margin is less, Texas wins
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after final official score is confirmed by NCAA, including any overtime periods. Markets remain open if game is postponed and resolve upon completion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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