TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Texas Longhorns vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Texas Longhorns vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (W)

Volume:
$209,747

Texas

 - Kalshi

Texas - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 1, 2026

Closed: Mar 1, 3:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Texas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$60,162
N/A
N/A
$54,276
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Texas Longhorns vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (W)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,724
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alabama

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$146,861
N/A
N/A
$114,802
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Texas Longhorns and Alabama Crimson Tide scheduled for March 1, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created markets to predict the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Alabama win and Texas win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making it impossible to differentiate between outcomes. This is a data integrity failure that renders the market unresolvable.Hero tip: Avoid trading on Kalshi until the resolution logic is corrected. The market as currently written cannot settle to a single outcome. Polymarket's market is logically sound and should be your primary reference.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all design with clear differentiation: Texas victory resolves to 'Texas Longhorns', Alabama victory resolves to 'Alabama Crimson Tide'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Key Quote: 'If the Texas Longhorns win, the market will resolve to Texas Longhorns. If the Alabama Crimson Tide win, the market will resolve to Alabama Crimson Tide.'
  • Kalshi: Defective YES/YES resolution logic where both outcomes map to Yes. Both 'If Alabama wins' and 'If Texas wins' resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Key Quote: 'If Alabama wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.