TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Texas Longhorns vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (W)
Volume:
$209,747
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Texas Longhorns and Alabama Crimson Tide scheduled for March 1, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created markets to predict the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Alabama win and Texas win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making it impossible to differentiate between outcomes. This is a data integrity failure that renders the market unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the resolution logic is corrected. The market as currently written cannot settle to a single outcome. Polymarket's market is logically sound and should be your primary reference.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all design with clear differentiation: Texas victory resolves to 'Texas Longhorns', Alabama victory resolves to 'Alabama Crimson Tide'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Key Quote: 'If the Texas Longhorns win, the market will resolve to Texas Longhorns. If the Alabama Crimson Tide win, the market will resolve to Alabama Crimson Tide.'
- Kalshi: Defective YES/YES resolution logic where both outcomes map to Yes. Both 'If Alabama wins' and 'If Texas wins' resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Key Quote: 'If Alabama wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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