TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars
Volume:
$7,955,830
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Texas A&M Aggies and Houston Cougars on March 21 at 6:10 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi offers granular spread markets with multiple thresholds for both teams, while Polymarket provides moneyline, spread, and over/under markets with different threshold specifications. The platforms diverge on which spreads are offered and how they are structured, though both ultimately settle on the same underlying game outcome.Hero Tip:
If you trade spreads, verify the exact threshold on each platform before placing bets. Kalshi's spread thresholds (e.g., Houston -9.5, -12.5, -15.5) differ from Polymarket's offerings (e.g., Houston -8.5, -9.5, -10.5, -11.5, -14.5, -17.5, -18.5, -19.5, -24.5, -25.5, -26.5, -27.5). Moneyline and over/under logic is consistent, but spread coverage is not.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers 11 markets covering Houston spreads (>9.5, >12.5, >15.5, >18.5, >21.5, >24.5, >27.5 points), Texas A&M spreads (>3.5, >6.5 points), and Houston spreads at intermediate thresholds. Each market resolves YES if the specified condition is met. Key quote: 'If Houston wins by more than 9.5 points... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers a moneyline market (winner only), multiple spread markets for Houston at thresholds of -8.5, -9.5, -10.5, -11.5, -14.5, -17.5, -18.5, -19.5, -24.5, -25.5, -26.5, -27.5 points, and multiple over/under totals (141.5 through 151.5). Spreads resolve YES for Houston if the win margin meets or exceeds the threshold plus one. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Houston Cougars if the Houston Cougars win the game by 10 or more points' (for -9.5 spread).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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