This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Texas A&M Aggies and Arkansas Razorbacks scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), over/under total points at 170.5, and point spread outcomes at -7.5 and -8.5 for Arkansas.
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Arkansas win and Texas A&M win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline correctly differentiates outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline market. It is logically broken and cannot be settled. Trade Polymarket's moneyline instead, which correctly resolves to the winning team. Spreads and totals on both platforms are consistent and tradeable.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves Yes for both Arkansas win and Texas A&M win, creating a logical impossibility. Quote: 'If Arkansas wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas A&M wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly resolves to 'Texas A&M Aggies' if Texas A&M wins or 'Arkansas Razorbacks' if Arkansas wins. Quote: 'If the Texas A&M Aggies win, the market will resolve to "Texas A&M Aggies". If the Arkansas Razorbacks win, the market will resolve to "Arkansas Razorbacks".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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