TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers
Volume:
$20,130,996
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Tennessee Volunteers and Virginia Cavaliers on March 22 at 12:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution logic for the same event. Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (Tennessee wins OR Virginia wins), making it logically incoherent. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes (Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers) with proper winner-take-all resolution.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market — it is unresolvable as written because both possible outcomes trigger YES resolution. All trading activity should focus on Polymarket's markets, which have sound resolution logic. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification from Kalshi support before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) resolves YES if 'Tennessee wins' OR if 'Virginia wins', creating a logical contradiction where the market resolves YES regardless of outcome. This makes the market unresolvable and unhedgeable. All spread and over/under markets on Kalshi are absent from the source data.
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound betting logic: Polymarket structures the moneyline as a mutually exclusive binary with two outcomes — 'Tennessee Volunteers' or 'Virginia Cavaliers' — only one of which resolves YES. Polymarket also provides 13 additional markets (spreads at -1.5, -2.5, -3.5, -4.5, -5.5, -6.5, -8.5 and over/unders at 136.5, 137.5, 139.5, 140.5, 141.5, 142.5, 143.5, 146.5, 147.5, 148.5, 152.5, 153.5) with clear, mutually exclusive resolution criteria. All markets include postponement and cancellation (50-50 resolution) clauses.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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