TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$216,099,358

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,189,677,720

500,754

Markets across

13,672

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,801

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
Dashboards
kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores

Volume:
$2,126,286
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Tennessee Volunteers and Vanderbilt Commodores scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET at Vanderbilt. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-3.5 and -4.5), and over/under totals at three different levels (149.5, 150.5, 151.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Tennessee winning and Vanderbilt winning resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as stated. Polymarket's moneyline correctly specifies mutually exclusive categorical outcomes.

Hero Tip:

Avoid trading the Kalshi moneyline until the platform clarifies the actual resolution logic. The spread and total markets on both platforms are consistent and safe to trade. Verify with Kalshi support whether the moneyline is mislabeled or if the resolution rules contain a copy-paste error.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Tennessee wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Vanderbilt wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot differentiate between the two teams.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes: resolves to 'Tennessee Volunteers' if Tennessee wins, or 'Vanderbilt Commodores' if Vanderbilt wins. Standard categorical resolution with proper edge-case handling for postponement (remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Follow the signals, not the noise

Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.

Company

Brand Kit

API & Data Licensing

Methodology

Help Center

Contact

PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.