A men's college basketball game between the Tennessee Volunteers and Missouri Tigers scheduled for February 24, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline (winner), multiple point spreads, and over/under totals at different thresholds.
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Missouri wins OR Tennessee wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and internally consistent.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's moneyline market. The resolution logic is contradictory and will create settlement disputes. Focus on Polymarket's suite of markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) which follow standard, resolvable logic. Always cross-reference final score with NCAA.com.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Missouri wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tennessee wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where every outcome resolves Yes. No resolution path for No outcome exists.
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Tennessee Volunteers' if Tennessee wins, or 'Missouri Tigers' if Missouri wins. Spread markets (-3.5, -2.5) resolve based on point differential thresholds. Total markets (O/U 142.5, 143.5, 144.5) resolve based on combined score. All markets include postponement protocol (remain open) and cancellation protocol (50-50 split).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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