This event is for the CBB game between Tennessee Volunteers and Iowa State Cyclones on March 27 at 12:00 AM ET.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi's market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Tennessee win OR Iowa State win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures multiple distinct markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) that each resolve to a single outcome based on the final game result.
Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi market entirely — it is logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of the game outcome, making it unsuitable for trading. Use Polymarket's suite of markets instead, which properly differentiate outcomes based on final score, point spread, and combined total.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical flaw. The market states 'If Tennessee wins the Tennessee at Iowa St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Iowa St. wins the Tennessee at Iowa St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES for both possible outcomes, violating basic binary market logic.
Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design principles: Offers multiple properly structured markets — a moneyline market that resolves to either 'Tennessee Volunteers' or 'Iowa State Cyclones' based on the winner, multiple spread markets with distinct thresholds (ranging from -5.5 to +10.5 points), and multiple over/under total markets (ranging from 133.5 to 147.5 points). Each market has mutually exclusive outcomes tied to a single underlying game result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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