TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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TCU Horned Frogs vs. UCF Knights
polymarket
kalshi

TCU Horned Frogs vs. UCF Knights

Volume:
$389,976

UCF wins by over 10.5 Points

 - Kalshi

UCF wins by over 10.5 Points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 18, 2026

UCF wins by over 10.5 Points?

100%chance
Amount

$

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UCF wins by over 10.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$1,339
$86,223
0%
0%
$45,303
N/A
kalshi

UCF wins by over 1.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$2,044
$53,038
0%
0%
$29,108
N/A
kalshi

UCF wins by over 7.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$279
$28,175
0%
0%
$9,116
N/A
kalshi

UCF wins by over 4.5 Points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$1,007
$21,847
0%
0%
$8,734
N/A
polymarket

Spread -1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,242
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,762
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

UCF wins by over 13.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,189
$58,062
0%
0%
$37,253
N/A
polymarket

TCU Horned Frogs vs. UCF Knights

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,783
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

UCF wins by over 16.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$720
$32,898
0%
0%
$9,310
N/A
kalshi

TCU wins by over 14.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$937
$24,774
0%
0%
$24,744
N/A
kalshi

TCU wins by over 2.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$19,621
$14,261
0%
0%
$11,505
N/A
polymarket

O/U 155.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,793
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

TCU wins by over 5.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$439
$3,696
0%
0%
$1,687
N/A
kalshi

TCU wins by over 16.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$975
$3,103
0%
0%
$2,738
N/A
polymarket

Spread -1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,105
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

TCU wins by over 11.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$2,542
$1,568
0%
0%
$1,538
N/A
kalshi

TCU wins by over 8.5 Points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$500
$1,250
0%
0%
$813
N/A
polymarket

O/U 154.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$396
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 18

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between TCU Horned Frogs and UCF Knights scheduled for February 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spread betting at multiple thresholds, and over/under totals across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical event parameters (game date, time, teams), identical postponement handling (markets remain open), identical cancellation handling (50-50 resolution), and identical scoring basis (final score including overtime). No threshold conflicts or source divergences exist.Primary resolution logic: Official NCAA final game score (TCU vs UCF, February 17, 2026)

Core resolution logic:

  • Moneyline resolves to the team with the higher final score
  • Spread markets resolve based on point differential: UCF -2.5 requires UCF win by 3+; UCF -1.5 requires UCF win by 2+; TCU -1.5 requires TCU win by 2+
  • Over/Under 155.5 resolves Over if combined score is 156+; Under if 155 or less
  • Over/Under 154.5 resolves Over if combined score is 155+; Under if 154 or less
  • Kalshi spread markets resolve Yes if the specified team wins by the stated margin (e.g., UCF +1.5 = Yes if UCF wins by 2+ points)
  • All scoring determinations include overtime periods in the final tally

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Game Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on a makeup date. No early resolution occurs.
  • Game Cancellation Without Makeup: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between Yes and No outcomes).
  • Overtime Scoring: All final scores include any overtime periods played. There is no separate overtime handling; the combined final score after all periods determines all resolutions.
  • Spread Push (Exact Margin): If the final margin exactly matches a spread threshold (e.g., UCF wins by exactly 2 points on a -1.5 spread), the market resolves to the team that did NOT cover (TCU in this example, as UCF needed 2+ points).
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the official final score is confirmed by NCAA, including any overtime completion. Polymarket references NCAA.com; Kalshi references the same official final score. No platform-specific delay or source preference exists.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.