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406,065

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TCU Horned Frogs vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
kalshi
polymarket

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

Volume:
$1,233,237

TCU

 - Kalshi

TCU - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 4, 2026

Closed: Mar 3, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

TCU

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$552,321
N/A
N/A
$304,544
Settled
Yes
polymarket

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$49,178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas Tech

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$597,523
N/A
N/A
$399,257
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,457
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 147.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,738
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,305
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$360
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 148.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$355
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between TCU Horned Frogs and Texas Tech Red Raiders scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple point spread variations (-10.5, -9.5, -8.5), and total points over/under (148.5 and 147.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Texas Tech win and TCU win) resolve to Yes, leaving no valid No resolution path. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. The market logic is broken. All spread markets (-10.5, -9.5, -8.5) and total markets (O/U 148.5, O/U 147.5) are consistent and resolvable across both platforms. Wait for Kalshi to correct the moneyline market definition before engaging.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market contains logical error: 'If Texas Tech wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If TCU wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to Yes, creating no valid No resolution state. Quote: 'If Texas Tech wins the TCU at Texas Tech men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If TCU wins the TCU at Texas Tech men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market is logically sound: resolves to 'TCU Horned Frogs' if TCU wins, or 'Texas Tech Red Raiders' if Texas Tech wins. Mutually exclusive outcomes. Quote: 'If the TCU Horned Frogs win, the market will resolve to TCU Horned Frogs. If the Texas Tech Red Raiders win, the market will resolve to Texas Tech Red Raiders.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.