A college basketball matchup between TCU Horned Frogs and Oklahoma State Cowboys scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), spread (-1.5 Oklahoma State), and two over/under totals (155.5 and 156.5 points).
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Oklahoma State win and TCU win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market as written - it cannot be settled. All other markets (Polymarket moneyline, both spreads, and all totals) use consistent, mutually exclusive resolution logic. Focus trading activity on Polymarket and the spread/total markets which have sound resolution criteria.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market maps both Oklahoma State victory and TCU victory to Yes resolution. Quote: 'If Oklahoma St. wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If TCU wins... resolves to Yes'. This creates logical impossibility.
Polymarket: Moneyline market uses mutually exclusive outcomes: resolves to 'TCU Horned Frogs' if TCU wins, or 'Oklahoma State Cowboys' if Oklahoma State wins. Quote: 'If the TCU Horned Frogs win, the market will resolve to TCU Horned Frogs. If the Oklahoma State Cowboys win, the market will resolve to Oklahoma State Cowboys.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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