TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Houston Cougars (W)
Volume:
$69,629
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between TCU Horned Frogs and Houston Cougars scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Both Polymarket and Kalshi are offering markets on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory: both a TCU win and a Houston win resolve to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable and unable to differentiate outcomes. Polymarket uses proper binary logic with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version. The market is fundamentally broken and cannot settle correctly. Use Polymarket only, which has valid binary resolution: TCU win = TCU Horned Frogs, Houston win = Houston Cougars.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure with mutually exclusive outcomes. TCU victory resolves to 'TCU Horned Frogs', Houston victory resolves to 'Houston Cougars'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory resolution: states both 'If Houston wins... resolves to Yes' and 'If TCU wins... resolves to Yes', meaning both outcomes map to identical resolution. Market cannot differentiate between the two teams and is unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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