TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Tarleton State Texans vs. California Baptist Lancers
Volume:
$204,348
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Tarleton State Texans and California Baptist Lancers scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -6.5 and -7.5, and total points over/under at 138.5 and 139.5.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (California Baptist win OR Tarleton St. win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline correctly resolves to the winning team name.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. The resolution logic is internally contradictory and cannot be settled. Use Polymarket moneyline instead, which correctly resolves to either Tarleton State Texans or California Baptist Lancers. Spread and total markets on both platforms are logically sound and consistent.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If California Baptist wins, resolves to Yes. If Tarleton St. wins, resolves to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes produce the same resolution, making the market non-binary and unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market states: If Tarleton State Texans win, resolves to Tarleton State Texans. If California Baptist Lancers win, resolves to California Baptist Lancers. If game is canceled with no makeup, resolves 50-50. This is logically consistent and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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