TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Tabi FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tabi's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Tabi (https://x.com/Tabichain) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Primary resolution logic:
Most liquid price source available at 4:00 PM ET on launch+1 day; Tabi official Twitter (@Tabichain) for launch date confirmationCore resolution logic:
- Token launch occurs when Tabi governance token becomes actively, publicly transferable and tradable
- FDV calculated as: total token supply multiplied by token price from most liquid source
- Resolution timestamp: 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day immediately following launch date
- Yes resolution: FDV strictly greater than the specified threshold ($500M, $1B, $2B, or $3B)
- No resolution: FDV equal to or below threshold, or no launch by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- No launch by deadline: If Tabi does not launch a publicly tradable governance token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all four markets resolve to No regardless of FDV projections
- Multiple price sources: If multiple exchanges list Tabi token, use the most liquid price source available at 4:00 PM ET on launch+1 day; liquidity determined by trading volume and bid-ask spread
- Exact threshold match: If FDV equals the specified threshold exactly (e.g., $1.000B for $1B market), resolution is No because the criterion requires FDV to be greater than, not equal to, the threshold
- Token supply uncertainty: Total token supply must be verifiable from official Tabi sources or blockchain records; if supply is disputed or unclear, resolution may be delayed pending clarification
- Launch timing edge case: If token becomes tradable after 4:00 PM ET on launch day, the resolution timestamp is 4:00 PM ET on the following calendar day (launch+1 day)
Timing:
Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following Tabi governance token launch; if no launch by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve No on that deadline dateFollow the signals, not the noise
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