TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Syracuse Orange vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack (W)
Volume:
$26,239
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Syracuse Orange and North Carolina State Wolfpack scheduled for February 22, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Syracuse win and NC State win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between correct and incorrect predictions.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The Polymarket version uses standard binary winner-take-all logic and is resolvable. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether the market should resolve based on game completion, a specific team winning, or if this is a data entry error that needs correction.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to Syracuse Orange if Syracuse wins, North Carolina State Wolfpack if NC State wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
- Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic. Both Syracuse win and NC State win map to Yes resolution. Creates tautology where all game outcomes produce identical market result. Key quote: 'If Syracuse wins...resolves to Yes. If North Carolina St. wins...resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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