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404,744

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2,691

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5

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61%

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Syracuse Orange vs. Louisville Cardinals
kalshi
polymarket

Syracuse Orange vs. Louisville Cardinals

Volume:
$172,325

Louisville

 - Kalshi

Louisville - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 4, 2026

Closed: Mar 4, 12:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Louisville

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$46,012
N/A
N/A
$33,724
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,049
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Syracuse

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112,118
N/A
N/A
$81,747
Settled
No
polymarket

Syracuse Orange vs. Louisville Cardinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,036
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 158.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,614
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 157.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$496
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the Syracuse Orange vs. Louisville Cardinals men's college basketball game scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (Louisville -12.5), and over/under totals (157.5 and 158.5 thresholds).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Syracuse win and Louisville win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides proper mutually exclusive resolution.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It cannot be settled. Use Polymarket moneyline (resolves to Syracuse Orange or Louisville Cardinals) for winner prediction. Over/under and spread markets on both platforms are logically sound and consistent.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states both Syracuse win and Louisville win resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. No mechanism exists to differentiate outcomes.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to Syracuse Orange if Syracuse wins, Louisville Cardinals if Louisville wins. Mutually exclusive and resolvable. Quote: If Syracuse wins, resolves to Syracuse Orange. If Louisville wins, resolves to Louisville Cardinals.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.