TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Syracuse Orange vs. Iowa State Cyclones (W)
Volume:
$1,026,031
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the WBB game between Syracuse Orange and Iowa State Cyclones on March 21 at 5:30 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Iowa St. wins OR Syracuse wins), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to either 'Syracuse Orange' or 'Iowa State Cyclones' based on the actual game winner, with clear handling of postponement and cancellation scenarios.Hero Tip:
Do NOT trade on Kalshi — the market rules state it resolves YES regardless of which team wins, meaning you cannot lose. This is a data integrity failure. Polymarket is the only reliable market for this event; it resolves based on the actual game outcome with proper edge case handling.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Market resolves YES if Iowa State wins AND ALSO resolves YES if Syracuse wins, creating a logical impossibility where every outcome produces YES. Key quote: 'If Iowa St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Syracuse wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Market resolves to the name of the actual winner ('Syracuse Orange' or 'Iowa State Cyclones') based on final score including overtime, with explicit rules for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key quote: 'If the Syracuse Orange win, the market will resolve to Syracuse Orange. If the Iowa State Cyclones win, the market will resolve to Iowa State Cyclones.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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