TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC
kalshi
polymarket

Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC

Volume:
$422,657

Sydney FC

 - Kalshi

Sydney FC - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 21, 2026

Closed: Feb 21, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sydney FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$166,124
N/A
N/A
$94,455
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56,804
N/A
N/A
$34,295
Settled
No
kalshi

Brisbane

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,175
N/A
N/A
$42,595
Settled
No
polymarket

Sydney FC

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$86,593
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Brisbane Roar FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,908
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,054
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC A-League soccer match scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets track whether Sydney FC wins, Brisbane Roar FC wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only, excluding extra time and penalties).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on the treatment of a fully canceled match with no make-up game. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes in this scenario, while its win markets resolve No; Kalshi provides no cancellation rule, leaving the outcome undefined.Hero tip: Verify A-League cancellation policy and obtain explicit Kalshi guidance on how a canceled match (no reschedule) would settle. If cancellation is a realistic risk, the Polymarket draw market embeds a hidden Yes resolution path that is absent from Kalshi's framework. Adjust position sizing and hedge accordingly.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate markets (Sydney FC win, Brisbane Roar FC win, draw). All reference the same match on 2026-02-21 and measure outcome at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Crucially, if the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion; if canceled entirely with no make-up, the draw market resolves Yes and the win markets resolve No. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) / 'this market will resolve to No' (wins).
  • Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcomes (Brisbane win, Tie, Sydney FC win) presented as exhaustive. All measure the match at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. The three outcomes appear to cover all possibilities, but there is no stated fallback if the match is canceled. Key Quote: 'If Brisbane wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Sydney FC wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.