TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC
Volume:
$422,657
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC A-League soccer match scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets track whether Sydney FC wins, Brisbane Roar FC wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only, excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on the treatment of a fully canceled match with no make-up game. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes in this scenario, while its win markets resolve No; Kalshi provides no cancellation rule, leaving the outcome undefined.Hero Tip:
Verify A-League cancellation policy and obtain explicit Kalshi guidance on how a canceled match (no reschedule) would settle. If cancellation is a realistic risk, the Polymarket draw market embeds a hidden Yes resolution path that is absent from Kalshi's framework. Adjust position sizing and hedge accordingly.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets (Sydney FC win, Brisbane Roar FC win, draw). All reference the same match on 2026-02-21 and measure outcome at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Crucially, if the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion; if canceled entirely with no make-up, the draw market resolves Yes and the win markets resolve No. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) / 'this market will resolve to No' (wins).
- Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcomes (Brisbane win, Tie, Sydney FC win) presented as exhaustive. All measure the match at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. The three outcomes appear to cover all possibilities, but there is no stated fallback if the match is canceled. Key Quote: 'If Brisbane wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Sydney FC wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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