TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC
Volume:
$144,414
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Australia A-League game, scheduled for Sunday, April 26, 2026 between Sydney FC and Auckland FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi markets measure goal margin thresholds (>1.5, >2.5 goals), while Polymarket markets measure match outcome (Win/Loss/Draw). These are orthogonal settlement dimensions, not contradictory, but require separate resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Kalshi and Polymarket are not redundant. Kalshi bets on goal differential; Polymarket bets on result. A 1-0 Sydney win resolves Yes on Polymarket (Sydney win) and Kalshi (Sydney >1.5), but No on Kalshi (Sydney >2.5). Understand which dimension you are trading before placing orders.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Four margin-based binary markets: Sydney >2.5 goals, Sydney >1.5 goals, Auckland >1.5 goals, Auckland >2.5 goals. Each resolves Yes if the specified team wins by the specified margin or more. Key Quote: 'If Sydney FC wins by more than 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three outcome-based binary markets: Sydney Win, Auckland Win, Draw. Each resolves Yes/No based on final match result. Cancellation rule unique to Draw market: resolves Yes if game canceled with no make-up. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (Draw only).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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