TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Swansea City AFC vs. Stoke City FC
Volume:
$127,665
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Swansea City AFC and Stoke City FC scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets are offered across Polymarket and Kalshi, with separate binary contracts for each team's win and a draw outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market resolves YES if the game is canceled with no makeup; Kalshi's structure implies all markets resolve NO on cancellation, creating a logical contradiction in the cancellation edge case.Hero Tip:
Monitor for game cancellation announcements. If canceled, Polymarket draw YES vs. Kalshi tie NO creates a profitable mismatch. Lock in positions before the cancellation becomes official.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Swansea win (YES if Swansea wins), Stoke win (YES if Stoke wins), Draw (YES if draw). All refer to 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation with no makeup: Swansea and Stoke markets resolve NO; Draw market resolves YES. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve YES.'
- Kalshi: Three separate binary markets: Swansea win, Tie, Stoke win. All refer to 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Standard interpretation: all three resolve NO if game is canceled. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Swansea vs Stoke professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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