TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Swansea City AFC vs. Stoke City FC
polymarket
kalshi

Swansea City AFC vs. Stoke City FC

Volume:
$127,665

Swansea City AFC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 7, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 10:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Swansea City AFC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$89,697
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Swansea

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,379
N/A
N/A
$7,286
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Stoke City FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,626
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Stoke

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,839
N/A
N/A
$7,693
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Swansea City AFC vs. Stoke City FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,594
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$530
N/A
N/A
$515
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Swansea City AFC and Stoke City FC scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets are offered across Polymarket and Kalshi, with separate binary contracts for each team's win and a draw outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market resolves YES if the game is canceled with no makeup; Kalshi's structure implies all markets resolve NO on cancellation, creating a logical contradiction in the cancellation edge case.Hero tip: Monitor for game cancellation announcements. If canceled, Polymarket draw YES vs. Kalshi tie NO creates a profitable mismatch. Lock in positions before the cancellation becomes official.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Swansea win (YES if Swansea wins), Stoke win (YES if Stoke wins), Draw (YES if draw). All refer to 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation with no makeup: Swansea and Stoke markets resolve NO; Draw market resolves YES. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve YES.'
  • Kalshi: Three separate binary markets: Swansea win, Tie, Stoke win. All refer to 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Standard interpretation: all three resolve NO if game is canceled. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Swansea vs Stoke professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.