TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Swansea City AFC vs. Coventry City FC
Volume:
$445,663
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between Swansea City AFC and Coventry City FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets (Swansea win, Draw, Coventry win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi presents three non-mutually-exclusive markets that all resolve YES regardless of outcome, creating a logical contradiction in Kalshi's framework.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group — they are logically unresolvable. Kalshi's three markets all resolve YES for any match outcome (Swansea win, Draw, or Coventry win), violating basic market design. Polymarket's three mutually exclusive markets are the only coherent structure for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome (Swansea win, Draw, or Coventry win) resolves YES and the other two resolve NO. Key quote: 'If Swansea City AFC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Swansea market); 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Draw market); 'If Coventry City FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Coventry market).
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents three markets with identical resolution logic: all three resolve YES if their named outcome occurs, but the structure creates a logical impossibility — all three markets would resolve YES simultaneously for any single match outcome. Key quote: 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Swansea wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Coventry wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This means every possible outcome triggers YES on all three markets, making them unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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