TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SV Werder Bremen vs. Hamburger SV - Halftime Result
Volume:
$1,724
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between SV Werder Bremen and Hamburger SV, scheduled for April 18, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: all three possible halftime outcomes (Bremen win, Hamburg win, Draw) are listed as resolving to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market as written—it contains a fatal logical error. If you must trade this event, use Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Bremen leading, Hamburg leading, Draw), which have clear mutually exclusive resolution criteria. Clarify with Kalshi support before placing any position.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets, each mutually exclusive: (1) Hamburg leading at halftime resolves YES only if Hamburg wins the first 45 minutes; (2) Bremen leading at halftime resolves YES only if Bremen wins the first 45 minutes; (3) Draw at halftime resolves YES only if the score is tied after 45 minutes. Exactly one market will resolve YES. Quote: 'If Hamburger SV wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions, all mapping to YES: (1) 'If Bremen is the winner of the first half...then the market resolves to Yes'; (2) 'If Tie is the result of the first half...then the market resolves to Yes'; (3) 'If Hamburg is the winner of the first half...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where every possible outcome resolves to YES.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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