TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. Hannover 96 - More Markets
Volume:
$165,627
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a 2. Bundesliga match between SV Darmstadt 98 and Hannover 96 scheduled for April 11, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET. Markets span spread bets (-1.5, -2.5 goals), over/under totals (1.5 to 4.5 goals), both teams to score, and a three-way outcome market. Resolution is based on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally incompatible resolution scopes. Polymarket offers spread and over/under markets that resolve based on specific goal-differential thresholds and combined-goal totals. Kalshi offers a single 3-way market (Darmstadt win, Hannover win, or Tie) with no threshold or total-goals logic, creating a logical contradiction: a Polymarket spread market can resolve YES while the corresponding Kalshi outcome resolves to a different result.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Polymarket and Kalshi markets in this group are fungible. A Darmstadt -1.5 spread win on Polymarket (Darmstadt wins by 2+) does NOT guarantee a YES resolution on Kalshi's 3-way market if the final score is, for example, 2-1 Darmstadt. Verify which platform you are trading on before placing bets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket offers 8 distinct markets with threshold-based and total-goals logic (spreads at -1.5, -2.5; over/unders at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5; both teams to score). Each market resolves YES or NO based on specific goal differentials or combined totals. For example, 'Spread: SV Darmstadt 98 (-1.5)' resolves YES if Darmstadt wins by 2 or more goals, otherwise NO. All Polymarket markets reference 'official final score published on bundesliga.com' and resolve according to 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi offers a single 3-way market with no threshold or total-goals logic. The market resolves YES if Darmstadt wins, YES if Hannover wins, or YES if Tie occurs—all three outcomes resolve to YES. This is a logical tautology that makes the market unresolvable as a meaningful prediction instrument. Kalshi's market references 'professional Bundesliga 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time' but provides no differentiation between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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