TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Suns vs. Spurs
Volume:
$8,906,284
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 19 at 8:00PM ET: If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns". If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's markets resolve YES for both possible outcomes (San Antonio wins OR Phoenix wins), creating a logical contradiction where the market is guaranteed to resolve YES regardless of the game result. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes (Suns vs. Spurs, spread thresholds, player props). This makes Kalshi's core markets fundamentally unresolvable and creates irreconcilable settlement conflicts.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline markets (items 1-2) entirely — they guarantee YES resolution for any outcome, making them worthless for prediction. Use Polymarket's clearly structured markets instead, where outcomes are mutually exclusive and resolvable. For player props and spreads, Polymarket provides coherent, standard NBA settlement logic; Kalshi offers no comparable markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline markets (items 1-2) state 'If San Antonio wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Phoenix wins...resolves to Yes,' creating a logical impossibility where both outcomes trigger YES. This violates basic binary market structure. No resolution path for NO exists. Key quote: 'If San Antonio wins the Phoenix at San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Phoenix wins the Phoenix at San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard NBA settlement logic: Polymarket structures mutually exclusive outcomes across all markets. Moneyline resolves to either 'Suns' or 'Spurs' (not both). Spreads use clear thresholds (e.g., 'Spurs if win by 10+, otherwise Suns'). Player props use standard over/under logic with defined point/rebound/assist thresholds. All markets include postponement and cancellation clauses (resolve 50-50 if canceled). Key quote: 'If the Suns win, the market will resolve to Suns. If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to Spurs.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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