Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs NBA game scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spread, over/under totals, player prop points/rebounds/assists, and first-half variants across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
Kalshi uses exclusive "more than X.5" language while Polymarket uses inclusive "X or more" language for over/under totals. Both resolve identically in practice (since basketball scores are integers), but the phrasing creates a semantic divergence in how thresholds are communicated.
Hero Tip:
Both platforms will resolve consistently because basketball scores cannot be fractional. The 225.5 line means 226+; the 226.5 line means 227+, etc. No practical trading risk exists, but monitor official NBA.com box score for final combined score to confirm resolution.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Over/Under markets use inclusive threshold language: 'resolve to Over if...combine to score 226 or more points.' Moneyline, spread, and first-half markets all reference official NBA.com as source and include postponement/cancellation 50-50 tie-break rules.
Kalshi: Over/Under markets use exclusive threshold language: 'If the teams...collectively score more than 225.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.' Eleven separate O/U markets with identical structure but no explicit cancellation/postponement language provided in source data.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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