TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Suns vs. Magic
Volume:
$13,257,871
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA matchup between the Phoenix Suns and Orlando Magic scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET in Orlando. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, determined by the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (either team winning), making it logically unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures markets where each outcome has a distinct resolution path. This is a fundamental data integrity failure on Kalshi.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline market entirely — it will resolve YES regardless of game outcome, making it impossible to lose. Polymarket's markets are properly structured with mutually exclusive outcomes. Trade only on Polymarket for this event group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Both resolution conditions (Orlando wins OR Phoenix wins) trigger YES, creating a logical contradiction. The market states 'If Orlando wins the Phoenix at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Phoenix wins the Phoenix at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES in all scenarios, making it unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound resolution logic: Properly structures mutually exclusive outcomes where 'Suns' and 'Magic' are distinct resolution values, plus separate markets for spreads, totals, player props, and first-half outcomes. Each market has clear YES/NO or specific outcome paths with no logical contradictions. Example: 'If the Suns win, the market will resolve to Suns. If the Magic win, the market will resolve to Magic.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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