TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Suns vs. Hornets
Volume:
$10,941,000
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 2 at 7:00PM ET: If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns". If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive, detailed market definitions with explicit resolution thresholds, sources, and edge-case handling for 46 distinct markets covering game outcome, spreads, totals, and player props. Kalshi provides only a single binary market with incomplete logic that fails to specify resolution source, threshold criteria, or handling of tied games, making it fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market as currently defined. The market states 'If Phoenix wins... then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Charlotte wins... then resolves to Yes', which is a logical contradiction—both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes simultaneously. Polymarket markets are fully specified and resolvable; Kalshi's single market is broken and will require clarification or amendment before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with itself across 46 distinct markets: Polymarket uses official NBA.com box scores as the authoritative resolution source, specifies exact thresholds for all markets (e.g., 'Hornets win by 6 or more points' for -5.5 spread, 'more than 9.5 rebounds' for player props), includes comprehensive edge-case handling ('If game is postponed, market remains open until completion; if canceled with no make-up, resolves 50-50'), and applies consistent logic across moneyline, spread, total, first-half, and player-prop markets. Key quote: 'The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi provides a single market with a critical logical flaw. The market states 'If Phoenix wins the Phoenix at Charlotte professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Charlotte wins the Phoenix at Charlotte professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a contradiction: both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes. Additionally, Kalshi omits specification of resolution source, threshold criteria (e.g., does a tie resolve to Yes, No, or 50-50?), and edge-case handling (postponement, cancellation). The market is logically incomplete and unresolvable as written. Key quote: 'If Phoenix wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Charlotte wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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