TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Mercyhurst Lakers (W)
Volume:
$255,076
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Stonehill Skyhawks and Mercyhurst Lakers scheduled for March 9, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Mercyhurst win and Stonehill win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the market terms are corrected. The Polymarket version is the only logically sound market for this event. If you hold Kalshi positions, escalate to support immediately for clarification or cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean winner-take-all binary. Resolves to "Stonehill Skyhawks" if Stonehill wins, or "Mercyhurst Lakers" if Mercyhurst wins. Postponements keep market open; cancellations with no makeup resolve 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Defective binary structure. Both outcomes map to Yes: "If Mercyhurst wins...resolves to Yes" AND "If Stonehill wins...resolves to Yes." No logical path to No resolution exists, making the market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.