This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Stonehill Skyhawks and Mercyhurst Lakers scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Mercyhurst win and Stonehill win) are stated to resolve to Yes, leaving no valid resolution path for a No outcome. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until this is clarified. The market as documented cannot function. Polymarket's binary structure (Stonehill win = Stonehill Skyhawks, Mercyhurst win = Mercyhurst Lakers) is logically sound and should be your reference framework.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear mutually exclusive resolutions. Stonehill victory resolves to Stonehill Skyhawks, Mercyhurst victory resolves to Mercyhurst Lakers. Includes proper edge case handling: postponement keeps market open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.
Kalshi: Yes/No market with critical structural flaw. Both stated outcomes map to Yes: If Mercyhurst wins = Yes, If Stonehill wins = Yes. No resolution path exists for No outcome, making the market logically impossible to settle.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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