TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Le Moyne Dolphins
Volume:
$141,770
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a NCAA Division II men's college basketball game between Stonehill Skyhawks and Le Moyne Dolphins scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline, point spread variants, and over/under totals at multiple thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Le Moyne win and Stonehill win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary. Polymarket markets are logically sound and consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The resolution logic is contradictory and creates settlement risk. Trade Polymarket markets instead, which have clear, mutually exclusive outcomes and explicit edge-case handling.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name; spreads resolve based on margin (e.g., -6.5 requires 7+ point win); totals resolve based on combined score threshold. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
- Kalshi: Market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Le Moyne wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Stonehill wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility for a binary market. No postponement or cancellation guidance provided. Key Quote: Both conditions map to identical resolution outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.