TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Stoke City FC vs. Millwall FC
polymarket
kalshi

Stoke City FC vs. Millwall FC

Volume:
$246,650

Millwall

 - Kalshi

Millwall - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 22, 2026

Closed: Apr 21, 5:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Millwall

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$80,523
N/A
N/A
$68,560
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Millwall FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44,147
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Stoke

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,308
N/A
N/A
$37,942
Settled
No
polymarket

Stoke City FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,865
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Stoke City FC vs. Millwall FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,618
N/A
N/A
$9,514
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Tuesday, April 21, 2026 between Stoke City FC and Millwall FC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable. It lists three mutually exclusive outcomes (Stoke wins, Millwall wins, Tie) but resolves to Yes for ALL three, making it impossible to determine a single resolution state. Polymarket uses standard binary markets with coherent resolution logic.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi markets on this event. The three Kalshi markets cannot all resolve Yes simultaneously since only one outcome can occur in a single match. Polymarket offers clear, resolvable binary markets: bet Stoke Win, Draw, or Millwall Win with mutually exclusive outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution logic. Stoke Win market resolves Yes only if Stoke wins; Draw market resolves Yes only if match ends in a draw; Millwall Win market resolves Yes only if Millwall wins. Exactly one market resolves Yes. Quote: 'If Stoke City FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
  • Kalshi: Three markets presented as if independent, but each resolves to Yes for a different outcome of the same match. Market 1: 'If Stoke wins...then resolves to Yes.' Market 2: 'If Millwall wins...then resolves to Yes.' Market 3: 'If Tie wins...then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility: all three cannot resolve Yes, yet the rules state each resolves Yes for its respective outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.