TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Stoke City FC vs. Millwall FC
Volume:
$246,650
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Tuesday, April 21, 2026 between Stoke City FC and Millwall FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable. It lists three mutually exclusive outcomes (Stoke wins, Millwall wins, Tie) but resolves to Yes for ALL three, making it impossible to determine a single resolution state. Polymarket uses standard binary markets with coherent resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi markets on this event. The three Kalshi markets cannot all resolve Yes simultaneously since only one outcome can occur in a single match. Polymarket offers clear, resolvable binary markets: bet Stoke Win, Draw, or Millwall Win with mutually exclusive outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution logic. Stoke Win market resolves Yes only if Stoke wins; Draw market resolves Yes only if match ends in a draw; Millwall Win market resolves Yes only if Millwall wins. Exactly one market resolves Yes. Quote: 'If Stoke City FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Three markets presented as if independent, but each resolves to Yes for a different outcome of the same match. Market 1: 'If Stoke wins...then resolves to Yes.' Market 2: 'If Millwall wins...then resolves to Yes.' Market 3: 'If Tie wins...then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility: all three cannot resolve Yes, yet the rules state each resolves Yes for its respective outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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