TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Stoke City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC
Volume:
$52,040
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the EFL Championship match between Stoke City FC and Blackburn Rovers FC scheduled for April 11, 2026. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: a Stoke City win, a Blackburn Rovers win, or a draw. All markets measure only the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets (Stoke win, Draw, Blackburn win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi structures three independent YES/NO markets on the same outcomes, creating a logical contradiction: under Kalshi's rules, all three markets could theoretically resolve YES simultaneously, violating the mutual exclusivity of match outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Polymarket and Kalshi will settle identically. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets resolves YES. On Kalshi, the market structure allows all three to resolve YES if the platform's resolution process is not carefully constrained. Verify the actual settlement mechanism with each platform before trading across both.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket uses three mutually exclusive binary markets where only one outcome (Stoke win, Draw, or Blackburn win) can resolve YES; the other two automatically resolve NO. Resolution source is official EFL statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours post-match. Scope is 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Cancellation with no make-up resolves the Draw market to YES and the win markets to NO.
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi uses three independent YES/NO markets, each asking 'If [outcome] occurs, does this market resolve YES?' This structure logically permits all three markets to resolve YES simultaneously if all three outcomes are somehow confirmed, creating a contradiction with match logic where only one outcome can occur. Resolution scope is identical (90 minutes plus stoppage time, EFL Championship), but the market architecture does not enforce mutual exclusivity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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