Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution logic: the market resolves based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 21, 2026, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations across all three outcome markets (Stockport win, Mansfield win, draw).
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the EFL (English Football League) as the governing body for League One, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Exactly one of the three markets (Stockport win, Mansfield win, or draw) will resolve YES based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The other two markets will resolve NO.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the draw market resolves YES and the win markets resolve NO.
Resolution is based on regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official EFL announcement of the final match result, or within 2 hours after match conclusion if official statistics are delayed, using credible reporting consensus as fallback.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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