This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Stetson Hatters and Jacksonville Dolphins scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), over/under totals at two thresholds (138.5 and 139.5), and point spreads at two levels (Jacksonville -5.5 and -6.5).
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Stetson win and Jacksonville win conditions resolve to Yes, making it impossible to distinguish a winner. Polymarket moneyline correctly resolves to either team name based on final score.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. Use Polymarket moneyline for winner determination. All spread and total markets (Polymarket) are logically sound and consistent: resolution is based on final score including overtime, with postponement keeping markets open and cancellation triggering 50-50 split.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Stetson wins, resolve Yes. If Jacksonville wins, resolve Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes map to the same resolution. Quote: 'If Stetson wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Jacksonville wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly specifies: If Stetson wins, resolve to Stetson Hatters. If Jacksonville wins, resolve to Jacksonville Dolphins. Spread and total markets include clear postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) protocols. Quote: 'If the Stetson Hatters win, the market will resolve to Stetson Hatters. If the Jacksonville Dolphins win, the market will resolve to Jacksonville Dolphins.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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