TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Stetson Hatters vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels
Volume:
$3,825,053
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Stetson Hatters and Eastern Kentucky Colonels scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread (-4.5 EKU), and total points over/under at two thresholds (155.5 and 156.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Eastern Kentucky win or Stetson win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline and all other markets use standard binary logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline — it cannot be settled. Use Polymarket moneyline for winner exposure. Spread and total markets on Polymarket are safe and consistent with each other and standard NCAA resolution practices.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market contains logical error: 'If Eastern Kentucky wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Stetson wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to identical resolution, creating unresolvable contradiction.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name: 'Stetson Hatters' if Stetson wins, 'Eastern Kentucky Colonels' if EKU wins. Spread (-4.5 EKU) and totals (O/U 155.5 and 156.5) use standard binary thresholds. Cancellation with no make-up resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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