TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Missouri State Bears (W)
Volume:
$339,117
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the women's college basketball game between Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks and Missouri State Bears scheduled for March 18, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET at Missouri State. The winner of the game determines the market resolution, with the result based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Missouri State wins OR Stephen F. Austin wins), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to one of two mutually exclusive outcomes based on which team wins the game.Hero Tip:
Do NOT trade on Kalshi — this market contains a data integrity failure where both outcomes trigger YES resolution. Polymarket is the only reliable market in this group; it will resolve to either 'Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks' or 'Missouri State Bears' based on the final score.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Market resolves YES if either Missouri State wins OR Stephen F. Austin wins, which is logically impossible since one team must win and the other must lose. This creates a guaranteed YES outcome regardless of the game result. Key quote: 'If Missouri St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Stephen F. Austin wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Market resolves to exactly one of two mutually exclusive outcomes — 'Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks' if SFA wins, or 'Missouri State Bears' if Missouri State wins. Key quote: 'If the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks win, the market will resolve to Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks. If the Missouri State Bears win, the market will resolve to Missouri State Bears.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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