TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Missouri State Bears (W)
kalshi
polymarket

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Missouri State Bears (W)

Volume:
$339,117

Missouri St.

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Mar 18, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Missouri St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$203,159
N/A
N/A
$142,429
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Missouri State Bears (W)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Stephen F. Austin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$135,958
N/A
N/A
$92,231
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market resolves based on the outcome of the women's college basketball game between Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks and Missouri State Bears scheduled for March 18, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET at Missouri State. The winner of the game determines the market resolution, with the result based on the final score including any overtime periods.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Missouri State wins OR Stephen F. Austin wins), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to one of two mutually exclusive outcomes based on which team wins the game.Hero tip: Do NOT trade on Kalshi — this market contains a data integrity failure where both outcomes trigger YES resolution. Polymarket is the only reliable market in this group; it will resolve to either 'Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks' or 'Missouri State Bears' based on the final score.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Market resolves YES if either Missouri State wins OR Stephen F. Austin wins, which is logically impossible since one team must win and the other must lose. This creates a guaranteed YES outcome regardless of the game result. Key quote: 'If Missouri St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Stephen F. Austin wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Market resolves to exactly one of two mutually exclusive outcomes — 'Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks' if SFA wins, or 'Missouri State Bears' if Missouri State wins. Key quote: 'If the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks win, the market will resolve to Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks. If the Missouri State Bears win, the market will resolve to Missouri State Bears.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.