TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals (W)

Volume:
$5,814

Stephen F. Austin

 - Kalshi

Stephen F. Austin - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 27, 2026

Closed: Feb 26, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Stephen F. Austin

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,383
N/A
N/A
$1,383
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals (W)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Incarnate Word

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,331
N/A
N/A
$4,330
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks and Incarnate Word Cardinals scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of this matchup, with different resolution structures across platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's binary resolution maps both possible outcomes (Incarnate Word win OR Stephen F. Austin win) to Yes, creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as a predictive instrument. Polymarket uses standard winner-take-all logic.Hero tip: This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. Do not trade this market on Kalshi until the resolution logic is corrected. Polymarket's market is resolvable and should be treated as the authoritative reference.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Winner-take-all binary. Resolves to the name of the winning team. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Source: NCAA.com final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Defective binary structure. Both outcomes (Incarnate Word wins OR Stephen F. Austin wins) are mapped to Yes resolution. This is logically impossible for a mutually exclusive event and makes the market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.