TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Stars vs. Penguins
Volume:
$1,524,274
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On March 28, 2025 at 5:00 PM ET, the Dallas Stars will face the Pittsburgh Penguins in an NHL regular season game. Markets are tracking both the moneyline winner (Stars vs. Penguins) and multiple total goals over/under thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5). Resolution will be based on the official final score including overtime and shootout adjustments.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution scopes. Kalshi resolves YES if either team wins (making it a binary event certainty), while Polymarket offers multiple distinct markets covering moneyline, spread, and over/under outcomes that resolve independently based on final score.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is a guaranteed YES outcome (one team must win), making it unsuitable for directional betting. Polymarket's markets allow you to bet on specific outcomes: which team wins, by how much, or total goals scored. Choose Polymarket if you want meaningful price discovery on Stars vs. Penguins outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's market resolves YES if DAL Stars wins OR PIT Penguins wins, creating a tautological resolution where the market is guaranteed to resolve YES regardless of outcome. This is a binary event certainty rather than a competitive prediction market.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers four independent markets covering moneyline (Stars vs. Penguins winner), three separate over/under thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 combined goals), and spread (-1.5 Stars). Each market resolves to a specific outcome based on final score, with shootout goals counted per NHL rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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