TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Stanford Cardinal vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Volume:
$1,318,620
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Stanford Cardinal and Wake Forest Demon Deacons scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline outcome, point spread outcomes at different thresholds, and total points over/under at different levels.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Stanford win and Wake Forest win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating guaranteed arbitrage. Polymarket markets are internally consistent with clear conditional logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market - it has a critical data integrity failure. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) are resolvable and consistent. Focus trading activity on Polymarket. Confirm game status at settlement time: postponements keep markets open, cancellations without makeup trigger 50-50 splits.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Stanford wins resolves Yes, AND If Wake Forest wins resolves Yes. This creates logical impossibility - both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes. Market is unresolvable as written.
- Polymarket: Moneyline: Resolves to Stanford Cardinal if Stanford wins, or Wake Forest Demon Deacons if Wake Forest wins. Spreads: Wake Forest -4.5 resolves WF if margin >= 5 points, else Stanford. Wake Forest -3.5 resolves WF if margin >= 4 points, else Stanford. Totals: O/U 149.5 resolves Over if combined >= 150, Under if < 150. O/U 148.5 resolves Over if combined >= 149, Under if < 149. All include overtime and use 50-50 for cancellations.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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