TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Stanford Cardinal vs. California Golden Bears
polymarket
kalshi

Stanford Cardinal vs. California Golden Bears

Volume:
$921,549

California

 - Kalshi

California - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 22, 2026

Closed: Feb 21, 9:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

California

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$545,787
N/A
N/A
$288,959
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Stanford

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$260,843
N/A
N/A
$156,113
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$971
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$480
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Stanford Cardinal vs. California Golden Bears

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113,209
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 148.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$260
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Stanford Cardinal and California Golden Bears scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), two spread variants, and a total points over/under.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market definition contains a logical contradiction: it resolves Yes if California wins OR if Stanford wins, which covers all possible outcomes and renders the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. It is logically broken and cannot be settled. Focus on Polymarket's moneyline, spreads, and over/under, which have clear resolution criteria tied to final score and margin of victory.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Four distinct markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: (1) Moneyline resolves to Stanford or California based on winner; (2) Spread -2.5 resolves to California if win by 3+, else Stanford; (3) O/U 148.5 resolves Over if combined score 149+, else Under; (4) Spread -1.5 resolves to California if win by 2+, else Stanford. All resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup; postponement keeps markets open. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
  • Kalshi: Single market with illogical resolution: 'If California wins...then Yes. If Stanford wins...then Yes.' This creates a tautology where the market must resolve Yes regardless of outcome, making it impossible to distinguish between outcomes or settle fairly. Key quote: 'If California wins the Stanford at California men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stanford wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.