TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901
Volume:
$1,847,475
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Ligue 1 game, scheduled for Saturday, April 4, 2026 between Stade Brestois 29 and Stade Rennais FC 1901.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets (Brest win, Draw, Rennais win) that collectively cover all possible outcomes, while Kalshi presents three markets that each resolve YES for any outcome, making Kalshi's markets logically contradictory and fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group — they contain a logical flaw where all three markets would resolve YES simultaneously regardless of the match result, violating basic market design. Polymarket markets are coherent and tradeable; Kalshi markets are not.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one resolves YES based on the 90-minute match outcome. Each market has clear YES/NO resolution criteria: 'If Stade Brestois 29 wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Brest win market); 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Draw market); 'If Stade Rennais FC 1901 wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Rennais win market).
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents three markets that each resolve YES for any possible match outcome, creating a logical contradiction. Market 1 states 'If Stade Brest wins...then the market resolves to Yes'; Market 2 states 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes'; Market 3 states 'If Stade Rennais wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Since the match must result in exactly one of these three outcomes, all three Kalshi markets would simultaneously resolve YES, which violates fundamental prediction market logic and makes individual market outcomes indeterminate.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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