TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC
Volume:
$1,418,778
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Ligue 1 professional soccer match between Stade Brestois 29 and Le Havre AC scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure contains a logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Brest win, Le Havre win, Tie) are listed as resolution conditions to Yes, which is impossible. Polymarket uses standard mutually exclusive binary markets.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's three-way market without clarification from the platform. The resolution logic is internally contradictory and unresolvable as written. Polymarket's binary structure is logically sound and recommended for trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market structure claims all three outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Stade Brest wins...then Yes. If Le Havre wins...then Yes. If Tie...then Yes.' This is logically impossible since only one outcome occurs per match.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: Brest win (Yes/No), Le Havre win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No). Exactly one resolves Yes; others resolve No. Logically consistent.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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