TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Denver Pioneers
Volume:
$151,396
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between St. Thomas (MN) Tommies and Denver Pioneers scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets cover the moneyline winner, point spreads at different thresholds (-4.5 and -3.5), and over/under totals at different levels (167.5 and 168.5 points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both St. Thomas win and Denver win resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent but operate on different platforms with no direct contradiction.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until clarification is received. The Polymarket moneyline, spreads, and totals are all resolvable and follow standard sports betting logic. Treat Kalshi moneyline as data integrity failure pending correction.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name or 50-50 if canceled. Spreads resolve based on margin: -4.5 requires 5+ point win, -3.5 requires 4+ point win. Totals resolve Over if combined score is 168+ (at 167.5 line) or 169+ (at 168.5 line). All include overtime in final score calculation.
- Kalshi: Moneyline states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If St. Thomas wins...resolves to Yes. If Denver wins...resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible and creates an unresolvable market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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