Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution logic: the market resolves based on the outcome of the St Mirren vs Livingston match on April 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with all three possible outcomes (St Mirren win, Livingston win, draw) covered across the market group.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the Scottish Premier League (SPFL) or governing body; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the final outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
Polymarket offers three separate binary markets: St Mirren win (YES/NO), Livingston win (YES/NO), and draw (YES/NO).
Kalshi offers a single market covering all three outcomes: Livingston win, draw, or St Mirren win each resolve to YES.
Exactly one outcome will occur; the corresponding market(s) resolve YES and others resolve NO.
If the match is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket draw market resolves YES; Polymarket win markets and Kalshi market resolve NO.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the Polymarket draw market resolves YES (treating cancellation as a draw outcome), while Polymarket win markets and the Kalshi market resolve NO.
Resolution Timing: Resolution uses official SPFL statistics as the primary source; if not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus becomes the resolution basis.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by the SPFL or governing body, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are unavailable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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