TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
St. John's Red Storm vs. Seton Hall Pirates
Volume:
$1,129,884
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between St. John's Red Storm and Seton Hall Pirates scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET at Seton Hall. Markets span moneyline, spread, and over/under total points outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Seton Hall win and St. John's win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline for this matchup. The platform's resolution language guarantees a dispute or manual override. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and over/under markets are all logically sound and use industry-standard thresholds. Concentrate trading activity on Polymarket.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Seton Hall wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If St. John's wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution value. No mechanism exists to distinguish between the two outcomes.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'St. John's Red Storm' if St. John's wins, or 'Seton Hall Pirates' if Seton Hall wins. Spread markets (-4.5, -5.5) resolve based on point differential thresholds (5+ and 6+ points respectively). Over/under markets (135.5, 136.5, 137.5, 138.5) resolve based on combined team totals (136+, 137+, 138+, 139+ points). All logic is internally consistent and mutually exclusive.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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