TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
St. John's Red Storm vs. Providence Friars
Volume:
$2,245,444
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between St. John's Red Storm and Providence Friars scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET at Providence. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple spread variations (-6.5, -7.5, -8.5), and total points over/under (167.5, 168.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Providence win and St. John's win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline is logically sound with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market entirely until Kalshi clarifies the resolution logic. The spread and total markets on both platforms are internally consistent and can be safely traded. Confirm with Kalshi support whether the moneyline was intended to use Yes/No outcomes or if there is a drafting error.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market specifies both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Providence wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If St. John's wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot differentiate between the two mutually exclusive game outcomes.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market uses mutually exclusive resolution outcomes: resolves to 'St. John's Red Storm' if St. John's wins, or 'Providence Friars' if Providence wins. Spread and total markets follow standard threshold-based logic with 50-50 cancellation clause.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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