TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
St. John's Red Storm vs. Marquette Golden Eagles
Volume:
$3,462,431
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between St. John's Red Storm and Marquette Golden Eagles scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spreads at -8.5 and -9.5, and over/under totals at 156.5, 157.5, and 158.5 points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline contains a logical contradiction where both St. John's win and Marquette win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline in its current form due to the logical impossibility. Focus on Polymarket spread and total markets, which use standard threshold-based resolution. If Kalshi corrects the moneyline logic, reassess before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline logic is contradictory: states both 'If St. John's wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Marquette wins...resolves to Yes' (implied from the pattern), leaving no losing outcome. This makes the market unresolvable as written.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'St. John's Red Storm' if St. John's wins or 'Marquette Golden Eagles' if Marquette wins. Spreads resolve based on margin thresholds (-8.5 requires 9+ point win, -9.5 requires 10+ point win). Totals resolve based on combined score thresholds (156.5, 157.5, 158.5). All include 50-50 cancellation clause and overtime inclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.