TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils
Volume:
$31,158,849
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the men's college basketball matchup between St. John's Red Storm and Duke Blue Devils scheduled for March 27, 2026, at Duke's home venue. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game—either St. John's wins or Duke wins. No other contingencies or alternative settlement scenarios are specified.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (either team winning), making it logically unresolvable and fundamentally incompatible with Polymarket's binary outcome structure. Polymarket correctly implements mutually exclusive outcomes (St. John's wins → 'St. John's Red Storm', Duke wins → 'Duke Blue Devils'), while Kalshi's rules guarantee YES resolution regardless of game result.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2). It is unresolvable as written because both resolution conditions resolve to YES. All other markets (Polymarket spreads and totals) are resolvable. If you must trade Kalshi, focus only on the spread and total markets if they exist on that platform; verify their terms independently.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) contains a critical logical flaw. Both resolution conditions state 'the market resolves to Yes': 'If Duke wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If St. John's wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES regardless of outcome, making it unresolvable. Quote: 'If Duke wins the St. John's at Duke men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If St. John's wins the St. John's at Duke men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard binary sports resolution: Polymarket implements mutually exclusive outcomes across all markets. The moneyline (items 1-2 in Polymarket terms, labeled 'St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils') resolves to exactly one of two outcomes: 'St. John's Red Storm' if St. John's wins, or 'Duke Blue Devils' if Duke wins. All spread and total markets follow the same mutually exclusive logic. Quote: 'If the St. John's Red Storm win, the market will resolve to "St. John's Red Storm". If the Duke Blue Devils win, the market will resolve to "Duke Blue Devils".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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