This event group covers a women's college basketball game between St. Francis (PA) Red Flash and LIU Sharks scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are designed to resolve based on the final game outcome, including overtime.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (LIU win and St. Francis win) are specified to resolve to Yes, leaving no valid resolution path to No. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi version of this market. The resolution logic is broken. Use Polymarket as your authoritative source. Kalshi must clarify whether the market should resolve Yes only for one team, or restructure as a multi-outcome market.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Winner-take-all binary. Resolves to the name of the winning team. Handles edge cases: postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
Kalshi: Defective binary structure. Both LIU win and St. Francis win are mapped to Yes resolution, creating a logical impossibility. No valid path to No resolution exists under any game outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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